PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Fakel Voronezh vs Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.670.89
Shots
1013
Possession
44.9%51.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: fakel Voronezh's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fakel Voronezh's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.6 shots/match10 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh9 matchesLokomotiv Moscow9 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
10 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 13 shots/match
2.22 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 2.89 shots/match
44.9%Possession9/9● 51.6%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners9/93.11 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls9/915.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fakel Voronezh
0Draws
5Lokomotiv Moscow
Fakel Voronezh — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League2–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League2–0
Fakel Voronezh — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–4
Lokomotiv Moscow — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headFakel Voronezh — Lokomotiv Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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