PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara and FC Spartak Moscow drew 1–1.

Shots
249
Shots on target
52
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara and FC Spartak Moscow drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – FC Spartak Moscow): shots 24–9, shots on target 5–2, possession 60%–40%, corners 11–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Spartak Moscow have a visible away split

weak

FC Spartak Moscow's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.25 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Spartak Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

48%PossessionKrylya Sovetov Samara · FC Spartak Moscow● 61%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraFC Spartak MoscowBaseline
Possession48%61%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots9 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 24 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 2 shots
  • Possession60%40%Krylya Sovetov Samara 60%, FC Spartak Moscow 40%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 11 corners, FC Spartak Moscow 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 16 fouls, FC Spartak Moscow 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsKrylya Sovetov Samara 1 card, FC Spartak Moscow 2 cards
  • Passes454 passes314 passesKrylya Sovetov Samara 454 passes, FC Spartak Moscow 314 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.5%73.3%Krylya Sovetov Samara 83.5%, FC Spartak Moscow 73.3%
  • Shots inside box17 shots6 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 17 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 6 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks3 blocksKrylya Sovetov Samara 9 blocks, FC Spartak Moscow 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesKrylya Sovetov Samara 1 save, FC Spartak Moscow 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesKrylya Sovetov Samara 1 offside, FC Spartak Moscow 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Krylya Sovetov Samara
0Draws
4FC Spartak Moscow
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League2–1
FC Spartak Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League0–2
FC Spartak Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League3–0
FC Spartak Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Spartak Moscow in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara10 matchesFC Spartak Moscow10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.7 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 0.8 goals/match
14.3 shots/matchShots10/1014.7 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.7 shots/match
48%Possession10/10● 61%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6.3 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraFC Spartak Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — FC Spartak Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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