PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

FK Krasnodar 2–3 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 2–3.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
57
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat FK Krasnodar 3–2. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 14–15, shots on target 5–7, possession 59%–41%, corners 3–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsFK Krasnodar 14 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsFK Krasnodar 5 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 7 shots
  • Possession59%41%FK Krasnodar 59%, Zenit St. Petersburg 41%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersFK Krasnodar 3 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 3 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls11 foulsFK Krasnodar 20 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsFK Krasnodar 4 cards, Zenit St. Petersburg 3 cards
  • Passes443 passes313 passesFK Krasnodar 443 passes, Zenit St. Petersburg 313 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%77.3%FK Krasnodar 81%, Zenit St. Petersburg 77.3%
  • Shots inside box9 shots9 shotsFK Krasnodar 9 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 9 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksFK Krasnodar 5 blocks, Zenit St. Petersburg 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesFK Krasnodar 4 saves, Zenit St. Petersburg 3 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides0 offsidesFK Krasnodar 5 offsides, Zenit St. Petersburg 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FK Krasnodar
1Draws
3Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–1
FK Krasnodar — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–2
Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Krasnodar · Premier League4–1
FK Krasnodar — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League2–0
FK Krasnodar — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 2 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar10 matchesZenit St. Petersburg10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 2.2 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
15.2 shots/matchShots10/1015.6 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.7 shots/match
58.2%Possession10/10● 58.7%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.5 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Zenit St. Petersburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required