PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Krasnodar · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.891.56
Shots
1315.3
Possession
51.6%58.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: FK Krasnodar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.56 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FK Krasnodar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FK Krasnodar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsLokomotiv Moscow · FK Krasnodar15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowFK KrasnodarBaseline
Shots13 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 9 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow9 matchesFK Krasnodar9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.78 goals/match
13 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 15.3 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.89 shots/match
51.6%Possession9/9● 58.1%
3.11 corners/matchCorners9/9● 4.33 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls9/913.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lokomotiv Moscow
3Draws
1FK Krasnodar
Lokomotiv Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–1
FK Krasnodar — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–2
FK Krasnodar — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–0
Lokomotiv Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–3
Lokomotiv Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowFK Krasnodar
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — FK Krasnodar
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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