PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.440.67
Shots
13.210
Possession
46.7%44.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 3 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara9 matchesFakel Voronezh9 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.67 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.44 goals/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots9/910 shots/match
5.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/92.22 shots/match
46.7% ●Possession9/944.9%
3.11 corners/matchCorners9/9● 4.33 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls9/914.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Krylya Sovetov Samara
1Draws
1Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League2–0
Fakel Voronezh — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League0–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League3–0
Fakel Voronezh — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — Fakel Voronezh
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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