Premier League · 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.111.44
Shots
15.712.7
Possession
60.7%47.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Zenit St. Petersburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Zenit St. Petersburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Akhmat Grozny12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.7% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · Akhmat Grozny47.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Possession60.7%47.2%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 1 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg9 matchesAkhmat Grozny9 matches
2.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.44 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots9/912.7 shots/match
5.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.11 shots/match
60.7% ●Possession9/947.2%
5.78 corners/match ●Corners9/94.56 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls9/911.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Zenit St. Petersburg
0Draws
1Akhmat Grozny
Zenit St. Petersburg — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–0
Zenit St. Petersburg — Akhmat Grozny · Russian Cup2–1
Akhmat Grozny — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–0
Akhmat Grozny — Zenit St. Petersburg · Russian Cup1–2
Zenit St. Petersburg — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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