Premier League · 2026

Akhmat Grozny vs Orenburg · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.440.78
Shots
12.712.7
Possession
47.2%37.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: akhmat Grozny have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Orenburg have a visible away split

weak

Orenburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.25 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Akhmat Grozny have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.2% ●PossessionAkhmat Grozny · Orenburg37.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAkhmat GroznyOrenburgBaseline
Possession47.2%37.2%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 3 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny9 matchesOrenburg9 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.78 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.11 goals/match
12.7 shots/matchShots9/912.7 shots/match
4.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.67 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession9/937.2%
4.56 corners/match ●Corners9/93 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls9/917.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Akhmat Grozny
1Draws
2Orenburg
Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg · Premier League1–0
Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg · Russian Cup0–1
Orenburg — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–2
Orenburg — Akhmat Grozny · Russian Cup2–1
Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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