Fakel Voronezh
Premier League · 2026Fakel Voronezh vs Rodina Moscow · Premier League
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 0.6–1
- Shots
- 11.4–8.9
- Possession
- 46.3%–43.5%
30-second read
What the record shows
One pattern stands out in the record: fakel Voronezh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: rodina Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Rodina Moscow's recent record differs from the season
moderateRodina Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.4 goals/match | 1 goal/match | 1.35 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Fakel Voronezh show a distinct attacking-volume record
strongFakel Voronezh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Fakel Voronezh | Rodina Moscow | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.4 shots/match | 8.9 shots/match | 13.1 shots/match |
| Shots against | 14 shots/match | 20.9 shots/match | 12.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Fakel Voronezh have a visible home split
moderateFakel Voronezh's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.2 shots/match | 11.4 shots/match | 13.1 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Rodina Moscow in 3 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Fakel Voronezh / Rodina Moscow
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
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