Premier League · 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.111.67
Shots
15.712.3
Possession
60.7%45.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: zenit St. Petersburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: dinamo Makhachkala's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Zenit St. Petersburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.11 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Dinamo Makhachkala have a visible away split

moderate

Dinamo Makhachkala's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.7% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · Dinamo Makhachkala45.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgDinamo MakhachkalaBaseline
Possession60.7%45.1%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Dinamo Makhachkala in 0 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg9 matchesDinamo Makhachkala9 matches
2.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots9/912.3 shots/match
5.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.33 shots/match
60.7% ●Possession9/945.1%
5.78 corners/match ●Corners9/94.11 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls9/912.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Zenit St. Petersburg
0Draws
0Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — Dinamo Makhachkala · Russian Cup1–0
Zenit St. Petersburg — Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League4–0
Dinamo Makhachkala — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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