PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.11.3
Shots
13.613
Possession
45.7%50.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: FC Rostov's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Rostov show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Rostov's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Rostov · Lokomotiv Moscow13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC RostovLokomotiv MoscowBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match13 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match18.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 4 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov10 matchesLokomotiv Moscow10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.1 goals/match
13.6 shots/matchShots10/1013 shots/match
4.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.4 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/10● 50.5%
4.3 corners/match ●Corners10/103.1 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Rostov
2Draws
3Lokomotiv Moscow
FC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–3
Lokomotiv Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League3–3
FC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League3–2
Lokomotiv Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness16 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headFC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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