Premier League · 2026

Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.781.67
Shots
12.712.3
Possession
37.2%45.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: dinamo Makhachkala's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: orenburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Dinamo Makhachkala's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dinamo Makhachkala's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Orenburg have a visible home split

moderate

Orenburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orenburg favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Dinamo Makhachkala in 4 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orenburg9 matchesDinamo Makhachkala9 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
12.7 shots/matchShots9/912.3 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.33 shots/match
37.2%Possession9/9● 45.1%
3 corners/matchCorners9/9● 4.11 corners/match
17.7 fouls/matchFouls9/912.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Orenburg
1Draws
2Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala — Orenburg · Premier League1–0
Orenburg — Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League1–1
Orenburg — Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League2–1
Dinamo Makhachkala — Orenburg · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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