PitchMath
League One · 2026

Cambridge United 1–0 Blackpool · League One

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cambridge United won 1–0.

Shots
246
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.830.69
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cambridge United beat Blackpool 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cambridge United – Blackpool): shots 24–6, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.83–0.69, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Blackpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Blackpool's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cambridge United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cambridge United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsCambridge United · Blackpool13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCambridge UnitedBlackpoolBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match20 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Blackpool have a visible away split

weak

Blackpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots6 shotsCambridge United 24 shots, Blackpool 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotCambridge United 7 shots, Blackpool 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.83 xG0.69 xGCambridge United 1.83 xG, Blackpool 0.69 xG
  • Possession73%27%Cambridge United 73%, Blackpool 27%
  • Corners13 corners6 cornersCambridge United 13 corners, Blackpool 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsCambridge United 9 fouls, Blackpool 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsCambridge United 1 card, Blackpool 2 cards
  • Passes470 passes176 passesCambridge United 470 passes, Blackpool 176 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.5%52.8%Cambridge United 81.5%, Blackpool 52.8%
  • Shots inside box17 shots4 shotsCambridge United 17 shots, Blackpool 4 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks4 blocksCambridge United 5 blocks, Blackpool 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save6 savesCambridge United 1 save, Blackpool 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesCambridge United 2 offsides, Blackpool 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 6′George HoneymanRed card · Blackpool
  2. 31′Oliver CaseyYellow card · Blackpool
  3. Half-time
  4. 82′Gassan AhadmeGoal · Cambridge United
  5. 86′Sullay KaikaiYellow card · Cambridge United
  6. 90′Finley MunroeYellow card · Blackpool
  7. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Cambridge United · 1 player changeOwen Moxon
  • 52′Blackpool · 1 player changeHayden Coulson
  • 60′Cambridge United · 1 player changeShayne Lavery
  • 69′Blackpool · 2 player changesDion Charles · Ilmari Niskanen
  • 76′Blackpool · 1 player changeJordan Brown
  • 84′Cambridge United · 1 player changeRaees Bangura-Williams

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Cambridge United3-4-2-1
  1. Jake EastwoodG
  2. Liam BennettD
  3. Kell WattsD
  4. Isaac HeathD
  5. Cathal HeffernanD
  6. Zak BradshawD
  7. Dominic BallM
  8. Pelly Ruddock MpanzuM
  9. Ben KnightF
  10. Sullay KaikaiF
  11. Gassan AhadmeF

Substitutes

  • Gabriel Breeze
  • Patrick Bauer
  • Sam Curtis
  • Owen Moxon
  • Raees Bangura-Williams
  • Louis Appéré
  • Shayne Lavery
Blackpool4-1-3-2
  1. Bailey Peacock-FarrellG
  2. Zachary AshworthD
  3. Oliver CaseyD
  4. Finley MunroeD
  5. Jordan Lee WilliamsD
  6. Albie MorganM
  7. George HoneymanM
  8. Josh BowlerM
  9. Karoy AndersonM
  10. Jerry YatesF
  11. Tom BloxhamF

Substitutes

  • Andy Lyons
  • Hayden Coulson
  • Jordan Brown
  • Leighton Clarkson
  • Ilmari Niskanen
  • Dale Taylor
  • Dion Charles

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cambridge United
1Draws
2Blackpool
Blackpool — Cambridge United · League One2–1
Cambridge United — Blackpool · League One4–4
Blackpool — Cambridge United · League One1–0
Cambridge United — Blackpool · League One2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cambridge United favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Blackpool in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cambridge United9 matchesBlackpool8 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/81.63 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/81.75 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.46 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots8/813.4 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.38 shots/match
47% ●Possession8/846.1%
6.88 corners/match ●Corners8/84.75 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCambridge UnitedBlackpool
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headCambridge United — Blackpool
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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