PitchMath
League One · 2026

Blackpool vs Leicester City · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.831.33
Expected goals
1.721.21
Shots
15.214.8
Possession
48.3%66.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: leicester City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBlackpool · Leicester City14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBlackpoolLeicester CityBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match14.8 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against18.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Blackpool have a visible home split

weak

Blackpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match15.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Leicester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.3%PossessionBlackpool · Leicester City● 66.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBlackpoolLeicester CityBaseline
Possession48.3%66.3%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackpool favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Leicester City in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackpool6 matchesLeicester City6 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.21 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots6/614.8 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.5 shots/match
48.3%Possession6/6● 66.3%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.83 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/69.33 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The recorded fixture status indicates that timing or completion is uncertain.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBlackpoolLeicester City
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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