PitchMath
League One · 2026

Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.330.83
Expected goals
1.211.94
Shots
14.815.2
Possession
66.3%53.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: wigan Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: leicester City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Wigan Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wigan Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Leicester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

66.3% ●PossessionLeicester City · Wigan Athletic53.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityWigan AthleticBaseline
Possession66.3%53.5%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.83 corners/matchCornersLeicester City · Wigan Athletic● 6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityWigan AthleticBaseline
Corners5.83 corners/match6 corners/match5.27 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leicester City favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Wigan Athletic in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leicester City6 matchesWigan Athletic6 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.94 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots6/615.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.33 shots/match
66.3% ●Possession6/653.5%
5.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6 corners/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls6/69.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The recorded fixture status indicates that timing or completion is uncertain.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeicester CityWigan Athletic
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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