PitchMath
League One · 2026

Stevenage vs Sheffield Wednesday · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.832.17
Expected goals
0.942.12
Shots
9.6716.3
Possession
42.3%55.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: stevenage's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: sheffield Wednesday have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Stevenage show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stevenage's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsStevenage · Sheffield Wednesday16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStevenageSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match16.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.3%PossessionStevenage · Sheffield Wednesday● 55.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStevenageSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Possession42.3%55.3%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stevenage favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 7 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stevenage6 matchesSheffield Wednesday6 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.17 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.12 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 16.3 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.33 shots/match
42.3%Possession6/6● 55.3%
3.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.17 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness16 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The recorded fixture status indicates that timing or completion is uncertain.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStevenageSheffield Wednesday
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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