PitchMath
League One · 2026

Leyton Orient 1–0 Stevenage · League One

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Leyton Orient won 1–0.

Shots
716
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.431.54
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Leyton Orient beat Stevenage 1–0. Recorded in this match (Leyton Orient – Stevenage): shots 7–16, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.43–1.54, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Leyton Orient show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leyton Orient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLeyton Orient · Stevenage10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeyton OrientStevenageBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match11 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots16 shotsLeyton Orient 7 shots, Stevenage 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsLeyton Orient 1 shot, Stevenage 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.43 xG1.54 xGLeyton Orient 0.43 xG, Stevenage 1.54 xG
  • Possession47%53%Leyton Orient 47%, Stevenage 53%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersLeyton Orient 3 corners, Stevenage 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsLeyton Orient 10 fouls, Stevenage 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsLeyton Orient 0 cards, Stevenage 4 cards
  • Passes343 passes381 passesLeyton Orient 343 passes, Stevenage 381 passes
  • Pass accuracy64.4%66.1%Leyton Orient 64.4%, Stevenage 66.1%
  • Shots inside box3 shots8 shotsLeyton Orient 3 shots, Stevenage 8 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksLeyton Orient 4 blocks, Stevenage 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves0 savesLeyton Orient 4 saves, Stevenage 0 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides2 offsidesLeyton Orient 4 offsides, Stevenage 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 31′Terence VancootenYellow card · Stevenage
  2. 32′Lewis FreestoneYellow card · Stevenage
  3. Half-time
  4. 59′Louis ThompsonYellow card · Stevenage
  5. 65′Daniel PhillipsYellow card · Stevenage
  6. 79′Alexander GilbertGoal · Leyton Orient
  7. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 64′Stevenage · 3 player changesMichael Mellon · Matthew Smith · Phoenix Patterson
  • 65′Leyton Orient · 1 player changeSean Clare
  • 76′Leyton Orient · 2 player changesDane Scarlett · Armando Dobra
  • 83′Stevenage · 1 player changeJordan Houghton

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Leyton Orient
  1. Nathan BaxterG
  2. Fin StevensD
  3. Joseph OlowuD
  4. William ForresterD
  5. Alexander GilbertD
  6. Phillip ChineduD
  7. Idris El MizouniM
  8. Isaac HaydenM
  9. Jaze KabiaF
  10. Yusuf AkhamrichF
  11. Tony SpringettF
Stevenage
  1. Tommy SetfordG
  2. Luther James-WildinD
  3. Carl PiergianniD
  4. Lewis FreestoneD
  5. Terence VancootenD
  6. Daniel PhillipsM
  7. Oliver SandersonM
  8. Louis ThompsonM
  9. Ben BroggioM
  10. Josh MagennisF
  11. Daniel KempF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Leyton Orient
1Draws
1Stevenage
Stevenage — Leyton Orient · League One1–2
Leyton Orient — Stevenage · League One2–3
Leyton Orient — Stevenage · League One1–0
Stevenage — Leyton Orient · League One0–0
Stevenage — Leyton Orient · League One0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leyton Orient favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Stevenage in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leyton Orient7 matchesStevenage7 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.57 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.03 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots7/710.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/73.86 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession7/743.9%
3.86 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.14 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/714 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeyton OrientStevenage
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headLeyton Orient — Stevenage
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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