Wigan Athletic 0–1 Wycombe Wanderers · League One
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Wycombe Wanderers won 0–1.
- Shots
- 12–11
- Shots on target
- 2–1
- Expected goals
- 0.41–1.66
- Possession
- 56%–44%
Full time
What the match recorded
Wycombe Wanderers beat Wigan Athletic 1–0. Recorded in this match (Wigan Athletic – Wycombe Wanderers): shots 12–11, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.41–1.66, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Wigan Athletic's recent record differs from the season
weakWigan Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.6 goals/match | 0.71 goals/match | 1.57 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Wigan Athletic show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakWigan Athletic's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Wigan Athletic | Wycombe Wanderers | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14.7 shots/match | 11.3 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
| Shots against | 13.7 shots/match | 14.7 shots/match | 12.9 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 25′James CarragherYellow card · Wigan Athletic
- 36′Max PowerYellow card · Wigan Athletic
- 43′Jon MellishYellow card · Wigan Athletic
- Half-time
- 61′Charlie GrayYellow card · Wigan Athletic
- 68′Dan CaseyGoal · Wycombe Wanderers
- 85′Jensen WeirYellow card · Wigan Athletic
- 86′Ewan HendersonYellow card · Wycombe Wanderers
- 90′Chris SzeYellow card · Wigan Athletic
- Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
- 46′Wigan Athletic · 2 player changesBradley Burrowes · Dara Costelloe
- 60′Wycombe Wanderers · 1 player changeJamie Mullins
- 61′Wycombe Wanderers · 1 player changeCauley Woodrow
- 74′Wigan Athletic · 1 player changeScott Hogan
- 81′Wycombe Wanderers · 1 player changeJack Grimmer
- 82′Wigan Athletic · 1 player changeChris Sze
- 89′Wigan Athletic · 1 player changeConnor Barrett
- 89′Wycombe Wanderers · 1 player changeLuke Leahy
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Joe WhitworthG
- Morgan FoxD
- Finley BurnsD
- Charlie GrayD
- Jon MellishD
- James CarragherD
- Jensen WeirM
- Max PowerM
- Fraser MurrayF
- Sonny PerkinsF
- Reggie WalshF
- Conor HazardG
- Daniel HarvieD
- Dan CaseyD
- Connor TaylorD
- Steve CookD
- Aaron MorleyM
- Caolan Boyd-MunceM
- Ewan HendersonM
- Josh ScowenF
- Jayden WarehamF
- Fred OnyedinmaF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Wigan Athletic favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Wycombe Wanderers in 5 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Wigan Athletic / Wycombe Wanderers
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Team rankings in League One
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