PitchMath
League One · 2026

Cambridge United 1–1 AFC Wimbledon · League One

1–1Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Cambridge United and AFC Wimbledon drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: AFC Wimbledon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: cambridge United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

AFC Wimbledon's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AFC Wimbledon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.71 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cambridge United have a visible home split

weak

Cambridge United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Cambridge United
  1. Jake EastwoodG
  2. Kell WattsD
  3. Isaac HeathD
  4. Owen MoxonD
  5. Cathal HeffernanD
  6. Zak BradshawD
  7. Dominic BallM
  8. Pelly Ruddock MpanzuM
  9. Ben KnightF
  10. Gassan AhadmeF
  11. Glenn McConnellF
AFC Wimbledon
  1. Josef BursikG
  2. Steve SeddonD
  3. Andy YiadomD
  4. Dan SweeneyD
  5. Aron SasuD
  6. Isaac OgundereD
  7. Ollie HarrisonM
  8. Callum MaycockM
  9. Alistair SmithM
  10. Jayden StockleyF
  11. Dujuan RichardsF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cambridge United
0Draws
0AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon — Cambridge United · League One0–1
Cambridge United — AFC Wimbledon · League One1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cambridge United favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · AFC Wimbledon in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cambridge United6 matchesAFC Wimbledon7 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/70.71 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲ 1 goal/match
0.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/70.87 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots6/711 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/72.57 shots/match
44.8%Possession6/7● 46.6%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners6/75.57 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/712.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCambridge UnitedAFC Wimbledon
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headCambridge United — AFC Wimbledon
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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