PitchMath
League One · 2026

Oxford United 1–1 Cambridge United · League One

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Oxford United and Cambridge United drew 1–1.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
0.881.06
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Oxford United and Cambridge United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Oxford United – Cambridge United): shots 10–15, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 0.88–1.06, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Oxford United have recorded the higher season possession share.

58% ●PossessionOxford United · Cambridge United43.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOxford UnitedCambridge UnitedBaseline
Possession58%43.3%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsOxford United 10 shots, Cambridge United 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsOxford United 5 shots, Cambridge United 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG1.06 xGOxford United 0.88 xG, Cambridge United 1.06 xG
  • Possession66%34%Oxford United 66%, Cambridge United 34%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersOxford United 5 corners, Cambridge United 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsOxford United 10 fouls, Cambridge United 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsOxford United 1 card, Cambridge United 5 cards
  • Passes510 passes245 passesOxford United 510 passes, Cambridge United 245 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.2%66.9%Oxford United 81.2%, Cambridge United 66.9%
  • Shots inside box7 shots12 shotsOxford United 7 shots, Cambridge United 12 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block9 blocksOxford United 1 block, Cambridge United 9 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesOxford United 0 saves, Cambridge United 3 saves

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 15′Siriki DembéléGoal · Oxford United
  2. 45′Cameron BrannaganYellow card · Oxford United
  3. Half-time
  4. 50′Sam CurtisYellow card · Cambridge United
  5. 57′Ben KnightGoal · Cambridge United
  6. 63′Ben KnightYellow card · Cambridge United
  7. 66′Shayne LaveryYellow card · Cambridge United
  8. 71′Cathal HeffernanYellow card · Cambridge United
  9. 87′Kell WattsYellow card · Cambridge United
  10. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 9′Oxford United · 1 player changeLouie Sibley
  • 46′Cambridge United · 1 player changeZak Bradshaw
  • 55′Cambridge United · 1 player changeShayne Lavery
  • 58′Oxford United · 2 player changesLuka Lynch · Gatlin O'Donkor
  • 70′Oxford United · 2 player changesTyler Goodrham · Brodie Spencer
  • 76′Cambridge United · 1 player changeIsaac Heath
  • 86′Cambridge United · 2 player changesRaees Bangura-Williams · Louis Appéré

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Oxford United4-2-3-1
  1. Simon EastwoodG
  2. Ciaron BrownD
  3. Michał HelikD
  4. Jack CurrieD
  5. Peter KiosoD
  6. Kai AndrewsM
  7. Cameron BrannaganM
  8. Jamie McDonnellM
  9. Mark HarrisF
  10. Siriki DembéléF
  11. Mo MissangaF

Substitutes

  • Jamie Cumming
  • Sam Long
  • Brodie Spencer
  • Louie Sibley
  • Tyler Goodrham
  • Gatlin O'Donkor
  • Luka Lynch
Cambridge United3-4-2-1
  1. Jake EastwoodG
  2. Callum PerryD
  3. Kell WattsD
  4. Owen MoxonD
  5. Cathal HeffernanD
  6. Sam CurtisD
  7. Dominic BallM
  8. Pelly Ruddock MpanzuM
  9. Ben KnightF
  10. Sullay KaikaiF
  11. Gassan AhadmeF

Substitutes

  • Gabriel Breeze
  • Zak Bradshaw
  • Daniel Herd
  • Raees Bangura-Williams
  • Isaac Heath
  • Louis Appéré
  • Shayne Lavery

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Oxford United
0Draws
2Cambridge United
Oxford United — Cambridge United · League One2–1
Cambridge United — Oxford United · League One2–0
Cambridge United — Oxford United · League One1–0
Oxford United — Cambridge United · League One1–0
Oxford United — Cambridge United · League One4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oxford United favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Cambridge United in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oxford United6 matchesCambridge United7 matches
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/71.71 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/71.43 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/70.96 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots6/711.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/73.71 shots/match
58% ●Possession6/743.3%
4.33 corners/matchCorners6/7● 6 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls6/710.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOxford UnitedCambridge United
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headOxford United — Cambridge United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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