PitchMath
League One · 2026

Oxford United 3–0 Burton Albion · League One

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Oxford United won 3–0.

Shots
119
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.270.47
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Oxford United beat Burton Albion 3–0. Recorded in this match (Oxford United – Burton Albion): shots 11–9, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.27–0.47, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.8 fouls/matchFoulsOxford United · Burton Albion15 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricOxford UnitedBurton AlbionBaseline
Fouls15.8 fouls/match15 fouls/match12.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Burton Albion have a visible away split

weak

Burton Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match9.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Burton Albion.

7 days ▲Rest daysOxford United · Burton Albion7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOxford UnitedBurton AlbionBaseline
Rest days7 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsOxford United 11 shots, Burton Albion 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsOxford United 5 shots, Burton Albion 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG0.47 xGOxford United 1.27 xG, Burton Albion 0.47 xG
  • Possession65%35%Oxford United 65%, Burton Albion 35%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersOxford United 2 corners, Burton Albion 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsOxford United 14 fouls, Burton Albion 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardOxford United 1 card, Burton Albion 1 card
  • Passes440 passes228 passesOxford United 440 passes, Burton Albion 228 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.9%61.4%Oxford United 78.9%, Burton Albion 61.4%
  • Shots inside box6 shots5 shotsOxford United 6 shots, Burton Albion 5 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksOxford United 4 blocks, Burton Albion 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesOxford United 2 saves, Burton Albion 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideOxford United 0 offsides, Burton Albion 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 23′Joe LewisYellow card · Burton Albion
  2. 38′Jamie McDonnellYellow card · Oxford United
  3. Half-time
  4. 76′Siriki DembéléGoal · Oxford United
  5. 90′Louie SibleyGoal · Oxford United
  6. 90′Gatlin O'DonkorGoal · Oxford United
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Burton Albion · 1 player changeHarvey Araujo
  • 61′Oxford United · 2 player changesGatlin O'Donkor · Jack Currie
  • 62′Burton Albion · 2 player changesSulyman Krubally · Kain Adom
  • 68′Burton Albion · 1 player changeJason Sraha
  • 74′Oxford United · 1 player changeTyler Goodrham
  • 86′Oxford United · 1 player changeLouie Sibley
  • 87′Oxford United · 1 player changeLeo Snowden

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Oxford United
  1. Simon EastwoodG
  2. Ciaron BrownD
  3. Michał HelikD
  4. Brodie SpencerD
  5. Peter KiosoD
  6. Kai AndrewsM
  7. Cameron BrannaganM
  8. Jamie McDonnellM
  9. Mark HarrisF
  10. Siriki DembéléF
  11. Mo MissangaF
Burton Albion
  1. Corey AddaiG
  2. Jack ArmerD
  3. Toby SibbickD
  4. Kyran LofthouseD
  5. Curtis TiltD
  6. Joe LewisD
  7. Kgagelo ChaukeM
  8. Raphael RodriguesM
  9. Charlie WebsterF
  10. Will CollarF
  11. Caylan VickersF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Oxford United
0Draws
1Burton Albion
Burton Albion — Oxford United · League One0–4
Oxford United — Burton Albion · League One3–0
Burton Albion — Oxford United · League One2–0
Oxford United — Burton Albion · League One2–1
Oxford United — Burton Albion · League One4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oxford United favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Burton Albion in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oxford United5 matchesBurton Albion6 matches
2.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/61.67 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/61.67 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/60.91 xG/match
11.4 shots/match ▲Shots5/69.5 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/63.17 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession5/643.2%
4.2 corners/match ●Corners5/62.83 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/615 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOxford UnitedBurton Albion
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headOxford United — Burton Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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