PitchMath
League One · 2026

Burton Albion 2–2 Mansfield Town · League One

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Burton Albion and Mansfield Town drew 2–2.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.831.58
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Burton Albion and Mansfield Town drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Burton Albion – Mansfield Town): shots 10–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.83–1.58, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mansfield Town have a visible away split

weak

Mansfield Town's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.6 fouls/matchFoulsBurton Albion · Mansfield Town14 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBurton AlbionMansfield TownBaseline
Fouls14.6 fouls/match14 fouls/match12.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsBurton Albion 10 shots, Mansfield Town 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsBurton Albion 3 shots, Mansfield Town 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.58 xGBurton Albion 0.83 xG, Mansfield Town 1.58 xG
  • Possession51%49%Burton Albion 51%, Mansfield Town 49%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersBurton Albion 4 corners, Mansfield Town 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsBurton Albion 12 fouls, Mansfield Town 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsBurton Albion 1 card, Mansfield Town 5 cards
  • Passes370 passes352 passesBurton Albion 370 passes, Mansfield Town 352 passes
  • Pass accuracy72.4%77%Burton Albion 72.4%, Mansfield Town 77%
  • Shots inside box4 shots9 shotsBurton Albion 4 shots, Mansfield Town 9 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksBurton Albion 2 blocks, Mansfield Town 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesBurton Albion 3 saves, Mansfield Town 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside5 offsidesBurton Albion 1 offside, Mansfield Town 5 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 16′Adedeji OshilajaGoal · Mansfield Town
  2. 21′Elliott HewittYellow card · Mansfield Town
  3. 23′Ryan SweeneyYellow card · Mansfield Town
  4. 28′Jack ArmerGoal · Burton Albion
  5. 39′Will CollarYellow card · Burton Albion
  6. 40′Michael SmithGoal · Mansfield Town
  7. Half-time
  8. 49′Louis ReedYellow card · Mansfield Town
  9. 59′Michael SmithYellow card · Mansfield Town
  10. 70′Lucas AkinsGoal · Mansfield Town
  11. 90′Frazer Blake-TracyYellow card · Mansfield Town
  12. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Mansfield Town · 1 player changeKyle Knoyle
  • 53′Mansfield Town · 1 player changeRhys Oates
  • 62′Burton Albion · 1 player changeSulyman Krubally
  • 62′Mansfield Town · 2 player changesLucas Akins · Luke Bolton
  • 63′Burton Albion · 2 player changesMatthew Dennis · Kain Adom
  • 75′Mansfield Town · 1 player changeFrazer Blake-Tracy
  • 82′Burton Albion · 1 player changeEmeka Adeile

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Burton Albion
  1. Corey AddaiG
  2. Jack ArmerD
  3. Toby SibbickD
  4. Kyran LofthouseD
  5. Curtis TiltD
  6. Harvey AraujoD
  7. Kgagelo ChaukeM
  8. Charlie WebsterM
  9. Will CollarM
  10. Raphael RodriguesF
  11. Caylan VickersF
Mansfield Town
  1. Liam RobertsG
  2. Stephen McLaughlinD
  3. Elliott HewittD
  4. Ryan SweeneyD
  5. Nathan Moriah-WelshD
  6. Adedeji OshilajaD
  7. Liam ThompsonM
  8. Regan HendryM
  9. Louis ReedM
  10. Michael SmithF
  11. David McGoldrickF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Burton Albion
3Draws
0Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town — Burton Albion · League One0–0
Burton Albion — Mansfield Town · League One2–1
Burton Albion — Mansfield Town · League One1–1
Mansfield Town — Burton Albion · League One3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Burton Albion favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Mansfield Town in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Burton Albion7 matchesMansfield Town7 matches
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.43 goals/match
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.16 xG/match
9.57 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.7 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.86 shots/match
44.3%Possession7/7● 45.9%
3 corners/matchCorners7/7● 3.71 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls7/714 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBurton AlbionMansfield Town
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headBurton Albion — Mansfield Town
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required