PitchMath
League One · 2026

Barnsley 1–1 Leicester City · League One

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Barnsley and Leicester City drew 1–1.

Shots
1220
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
1.182.4
Possession
21%79%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barnsley and Leicester City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Barnsley – Leicester City): shots 12–20, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 1.18–2.4, possession 21%–79%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Barnsley's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barnsley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.29 corners/match ●CornersBarnsley · Leicester City6.71 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBarnsleyLeicester CityBaseline
Corners8.29 corners/match6.71 corners/match5.27 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Barnsley show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barnsley's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsBarnsley · Leicester City15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarnsleyLeicester CityBaseline
Shots17 shots/match15.6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots20 shotsBarnsley 12 shots, Leicester City 20 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsBarnsley 5 shots, Leicester City 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG2.4 xGBarnsley 1.18 xG, Leicester City 2.4 xG
  • Possession21%79%Barnsley 21%, Leicester City 79%
  • Corners5 corners12 cornersBarnsley 5 corners, Leicester City 12 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsBarnsley 19 fouls, Leicester City 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsBarnsley 4 cards, Leicester City 4 cards
  • Passes165 passes676 passesBarnsley 165 passes, Leicester City 676 passes
  • Pass accuracy61.2%89.6%Barnsley 61.2%, Leicester City 89.6%
  • Shots inside box9 shots14 shotsBarnsley 9 shots, Leicester City 14 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks5 blocksBarnsley 0 blocks, Leicester City 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves4 savesBarnsley 6 saves, Leicester City 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesBarnsley 2 offsides, Leicester City 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Liam CullenGoal · Leicester City
  2. 11′Olabade AlukoYellow card · Leicester City
  3. 26′Luca ConnellRed card · Barnsley
  4. Half-time
  5. 46′William AlvesYellow card · Leicester City
  6. 56′Sammy BraybrookeYellow card · Leicester City
  7. 61′Reyes ClearyGoal · Barnsley
  8. 63′Louis PageYellow card · Leicester City
  9. 71′Patrick KellyYellow card · Barnsley
  10. 89′Arley KayYellow card · Barnsley
  11. 90′Jonathan BlandYellow card · Barnsley
  12. 90′Clayton TaylorYellow card · Barnsley
  13. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 34′Barnsley · 1 player changeTyrese Noslin
  • 46′Leicester City · 1 player changeWoyo Coulibaly
  • 54′Barnsley · 1 player changeJonathan Bland
  • 62′Leicester City · 2 player changesWes Burns · Tom Watson
  • 67′Barnsley · 2 player changesClayton Taylor · Vimal Yoganathan
  • 81′Leicester City · 1 player changeHarry Howell
  • 86′Leicester City · 1 player changeBobby De Cordova-Reid

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Barnsley4-2-3-1
  1. Rogan RavenhillG
  2. Arley KayD
  3. Sam GaleD
  4. Jack ShepherdD
  5. Connor O'RiordanD
  6. Cameron McGeehanM
  7. Patrick KellyM
  8. Luca ConnellM
  9. Ben Hamed ToureF
  10. Amani RichardsF
  11. Reyes ClearyF

Substitutes

  • Kieran Flavell
  • Tyrese Noslin
  • Jonathan Bland
  • Vimal Yoganathan
  • Makenzie Kirk
  • Clayton Taylor
  • Luke Alker
Leicester City4-1-4-1
  1. Alex McCarthyG
  2. Wout FaesD
  3. Warren O'HoraD
  4. Olabade AlukoD
  5. Luke ThomasD
  6. John LundstramM
  7. Liam CullenM
  8. Louis PageM
  9. Sammy BraybrookeM
  10. William AlvesM
  11. Emil Riis JacobsenF

Substitutes

  • Franco Ravizzoli
  • Harry Souttar
  • Woyo Coulibaly
  • Wes Burns
  • Bobby De Cordova-Reid
  • Harry Howell
  • Tom Watson

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barnsley favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Leicester City in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barnsley7 matchesLeicester City7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.38 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots7/715.6 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5 shots/match
54.3%Possession7/7● 68.1%
8.29 corners/match ●Corners7/76.71 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls7/79.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBarnsleyLeicester City
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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