PitchMath
League One · 2026

Notts County vs Blackpool · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.171.83
Expected goals
1.331.72
Shots
12.315.2
Possession
44%48.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: notts County's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: notts County's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Notts County have a visible home split

weak

Notts County's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Notts County show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Notts County's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsNotts County · Blackpool15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNotts CountyBlackpoolBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match15.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match18.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Notts County favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Blackpool in 7 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Notts County6 matchesBlackpool6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.72 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
44%Possession6/6● 48.3%
5 corners/match ●Corners6/64.83 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls6/610.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The recorded fixture status indicates that timing or completion is uncertain.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNotts CountyBlackpool
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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