PitchMath
League One · 2026

Blackpool 2–4 Plymouth Argyle · League One

2–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Plymouth Argyle won 2–4.

Shots
1024
Shots on target
49
Expected goals
0.672.44
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Plymouth Argyle beat Blackpool 4–2. Recorded in this match (Blackpool – Plymouth Argyle): shots 10–24, shots on target 4–9, expected goals 0.67–2.44, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Plymouth Argyle show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Plymouth Argyle's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBlackpool · Plymouth Argyle14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBlackpoolPlymouth ArgyleBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against19.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Plymouth Argyle's recent record differs from the season

weak

Plymouth Argyle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Blackpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.9% ●PossessionBlackpool · Plymouth Argyle40.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBlackpoolPlymouth ArgyleBaseline
Possession48.9%40.7%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots24 shotsBlackpool 10 shots, Plymouth Argyle 24 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots9 shotsBlackpool 4 shots, Plymouth Argyle 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.67 xG2.44 xGBlackpool 0.67 xG, Plymouth Argyle 2.44 xG
  • Possession52%48%Blackpool 52%, Plymouth Argyle 48%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersBlackpool 3 corners, Plymouth Argyle 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls7 foulsBlackpool 13 fouls, Plymouth Argyle 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsBlackpool 3 cards, Plymouth Argyle 0 cards
  • Passes351 passes322 passesBlackpool 351 passes, Plymouth Argyle 322 passes
  • Pass accuracy59.3%64%Blackpool 59.3%, Plymouth Argyle 64%
  • Shots inside box6 shots14 shotsBlackpool 6 shots, Plymouth Argyle 14 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block6 blocksBlackpool 1 block, Plymouth Argyle 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesBlackpool 4 saves, Plymouth Argyle 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesBlackpool 0 offsides, Plymouth Argyle 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 30′Jordan BrownGoal · Blackpool
  2. 36′Oliver IrowGoal · Plymouth Argyle
  3. 38′Jerry YatesYellow card · Blackpool
  4. Half-time
  5. 47′Jordan Lee WilliamsYellow card · Blackpool
  6. 52′Oliver IrowGoal · Plymouth Argyle
  7. 57′Harvey WhiteGoal · Plymouth Argyle
  8. 70′Jerry YatesGoal · Blackpool
  9. 71′Karoy AndersonYellow card · Blackpool
  10. 89′Aribim PeppleGoal · Plymouth Argyle
  11. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 59′Blackpool · 1 player changeFinley Munroe
  • 66′Plymouth Argyle · 2 player changesJoe Edwards · Mathias Ross
  • 74′Blackpool · 1 player changeDion Charles
  • 77′Plymouth Argyle · 1 player changeCaleb Watts
  • 79′Blackpool · 1 player changeLeighton Clarkson
  • 86′Plymouth Argyle · 1 player changeBradley Ibrahim

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Blackpool
  1. Bailey Peacock-FarrellG
  2. Zachary AshworthD
  3. Oliver CaseyD
  4. Jordan Lee WilliamsD
  5. Josh EarlD
  6. Jordan BrownM
  7. Albie MorganM
  8. Josh BowlerM
  9. Karoy AndersonM
  10. Jerry YatesF
  11. Tom BloxhamF
Plymouth Argyle
  1. Murphy CooperG
  2. Julio PleguezueloD
  3. Alex MitchellD
  4. Matthew SorinolaD
  5. Wes HardingD
  6. Harvey WhiteM
  7. Ronan CurtisM
  8. Oliver IrowM
  9. Tyreeq BakinsonM
  10. Will EvansF
  11. Aribim PeppleF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Blackpool
0Draws
2Plymouth Argyle
Blackpool — Plymouth Argyle · League One0–4
Plymouth Argyle — Blackpool · League One1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackpool favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Plymouth Argyle in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackpool7 matchesPlymouth Argyle7 matches
1.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.46 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots7/714.6 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.14 shots/match
48.9% ●Possession7/740.7%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls7/712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBlackpoolPlymouth Argyle
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headBlackpool — Plymouth Argyle
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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