Peterborough United vs Notts County — Stats & Match Analysis

League One · 2026Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

Peterborough United

WLDLD

vsPre-match analysis

Notts County

DWDDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 0.671.17
Expected goals: 1.441.33
Shots: 13.712.3
Possession: 58.8%44%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: peterborough United have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: notts County's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Notts County have a visible away split

weak

Notts County's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.67 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Peterborough United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Peterborough United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	0.67 goals/match	1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Peterborough United have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.8% ●PossessionPeterborough United · Notts County44%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Peterborough United	Notts County	Baseline
Possession	58.8%	44%	49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Peterborough United favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Notts County in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Peterborough United6 matchesNotts County6 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match

1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.33 xG/match

13.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/612.3 shots/match

3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3.5 shots/match

58.8% ●Possession6/644%

5 corners/matchCorners6/65 corners/match

9 fouls/matchFouls6/614 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness21 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season