League One · 2026Notts County vs Oxford United · League One
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.17–2.4
- Expected goals
- 1.33–1.39
- Shots
- 12.3–11.4
- Possession
- 44%–56.4%
30-second read
What the record shows
One pattern stands out in the record: oxford United have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: notts County's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Notts County have a visible home split
weakNotts County's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Notts County show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakNotts County's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Notts County | Oxford United | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 12.3 shots/match | 11.4 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
| Shots against | 11.2 shots/match | 17.2 shots/match | 12.9 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Both teams have elevated fouls records
weakEach team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Notts County | Oxford United | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 14 fouls/match | 15.8 fouls/match | 12.4 fouls/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Notts County favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Oxford United in 5 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Notts County / Oxford United
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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