PitchMath
League One · 2026

Plymouth Argyle 2–1 AFC Wimbledon · League One

2–1Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Plymouth Argyle won 2–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: plymouth Argyle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: plymouth Argyle's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Plymouth Argyle's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Plymouth Argyle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.78 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Plymouth Argyle have a visible home split

weak

Plymouth Argyle's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match15 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

AFC Wimbledon show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AFC Wimbledon's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsPlymouth Argyle · AFC Wimbledon11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPlymouth ArgyleAFC WimbledonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Plymouth Argyle4-4-2
  1. Murphy CooperG
  2. Mathias RossD
  3. Joe EdwardsD
  4. Alex MitchellD
  5. Wes HardingD
  6. Harvey WhiteM
  7. Ronan CurtisM
  8. Oliver IrowM
  9. Bradley IbrahimM
  10. Will EvansF
  11. Caleb WattsF

Substitutes

  • James Storer
  • Jack Mackenzie
  • Alex Hartridge
  • Matthew Sorinola
  • Tyreeq Bakinson
  • Seb Campbell
  • Xavier Amaechi
AFC Wimbledon5-4-1
  1. Josef BursikG
  2. Steve SeddonD
  3. Ryan JohnsonD
  4. Andy YiadomD
  5. Aron SasuD
  6. Isaac OgundereD
  7. Ollie HarrisonM
  8. Alistair SmithM
  9. Callum MaycockF
  10. Jayden StockleyF
  11. Myles HippolyteF

Substitutes

  • Nathan Bishop
  • Steven Sessegnon
  • Freddie Simmonds
  • Riley Horan
  • Zack Nelson
  • Marcus Browne
  • Harry Cornick

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Plymouth Argyle
0Draws
1AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon — Plymouth Argyle · League One1–3
Plymouth Argyle — AFC Wimbledon · League One1–2
Plymouth Argyle — AFC Wimbledon · League One2–0
AFC Wimbledon — Plymouth Argyle · League One0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Plymouth Argyle favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · AFC Wimbledon in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Plymouth Argyle9 matchesAFC Wimbledon8 matches
1.78 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/80.75 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/70.87 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots9/711 shots/match
5.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/72.57 shots/match
42.8%Possession9/7● 46.6%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners9/75.57 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls9/712.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPlymouth ArgyleAFC Wimbledon
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headPlymouth Argyle — AFC Wimbledon
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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