PitchMath
League One · 2026

Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.670.71
Expected goals
1.30.87
Shots
1311
Possession
39.5%46.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: AFC Wimbledon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: AFC Wimbledon's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

AFC Wimbledon's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AFC Wimbledon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.71 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AFC Wimbledon have a visible away split

weak

AFC Wimbledon's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match11 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Plymouth Argyle favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · AFC Wimbledon in 5 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Plymouth Argyle6 matchesAFC Wimbledon7 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/70.71 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/70.87 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots6/711 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/72.57 shots/match
39.5%Possession6/7● 46.6%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners6/75.57 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls6/712.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Plymouth Argyle
0Draws
1AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon — Plymouth Argyle · League One1–3
Plymouth Argyle — AFC Wimbledon · League One1–2
Plymouth Argyle — AFC Wimbledon · League One2–0
AFC Wimbledon — Plymouth Argyle · League One0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPlymouth ArgyleAFC Wimbledon
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headPlymouth Argyle — AFC Wimbledon
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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