PitchMath
League One · 2026

Mansfield Town 2–1 Bromley · League One

2–1Pre-match analysis

Bromley

LLLDW

Match at a glance

Mansfield Town won 2–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: mansfield Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: mansfield Town have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Mansfield Town have a visible home split

weak

Mansfield Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Mansfield Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Mansfield Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsMansfield Town · Bromley9.14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMansfield TownBromleyBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match9.14 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match18 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14 fouls/matchFoulsMansfield Town · Bromley15.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMansfield TownBromleyBaseline
Fouls14 fouls/match15.3 fouls/match12.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Mansfield Town3-1-4-2
  1. Liam RobertsG
  2. Stephen McLaughlinD
  3. Elliott HewittD
  4. Ryan SweeneyD
  5. Nathan Moriah-WelshD
  6. Adedeji OshilajaD
  7. Jon RussellM
  8. Liam ThompsonM
  9. Louis ReedM
  10. Michael SmithF
  11. Rhys OatesF

Substitutes

  • Kyle Knoyle
  • Luke Bolton
  • Frazer Blake-Tracy
  • George Maris
  • Regan Hendry
  • George Abbott
  • Tyler Roberts
Bromley4-1-4-1
  1. Owen MasonG
  2. Omar SowunmiD
  3. Marcus IfillD
  4. Jacob MendyD
  5. Kamarl GrantD
  6. George SavilleM
  7. Mitch PinnockM
  8. Corey WhitelyM
  9. Kamil ContehM
  10. John Joshua MckiernanM
  11. Victor AdeboyejoF

Substitutes

  • Grant Smith
  • Adam Jackson
  • William Hondermarck
  • Michael Cheek
  • Jodi Jones
  • Nicke Kabamba
  • Mickel Miller

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mansfield Town favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Bromley in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mansfield Town7 matchesBromley7 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.57 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.84 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots7/79.14 shots/match
3.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match
45.9% ●Possession7/735.9%
3.71 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls7/715.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMansfield TownBromley
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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