PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.82.24
Expected goals
1.762.1
Shots
14.117.5
Possession
51.8%56%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsChicago Fire · Vancouver Whitecaps17.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChicago FireVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match17.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match8.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chicago Fire favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Vancouver Whitecaps in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chicago Fire25 matchesVancouver Whitecaps25 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 2.24 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals21/22▲ 2.1 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots24/25▲ 17.5 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target24/25▲ 6.36 shots/match
51.8%Possession24/25● 56%
4.46 corners/matchCorners24/25● 5.92 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/62.67 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2514.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Chicago Fire
0Draws
1Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer1–3
Chicago Fire — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer0–1
Vancouver Whitecaps — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness17 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChicago FireVancouver Whitecaps
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headChicago Fire — Vancouver Whitecaps
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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