Serie B · 2023

Sport Recife 1–0 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 1–0.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.871.29
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat Vila Nova FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Vila Nova FC): shots 11–15, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.87–1.29, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vila Nova FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsSport Recife · Vila Nova FC18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSport RecifeVila Nova FCBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match18.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sport Recife.

7.29 days ▲Rest daysSport Recife · Vila Nova FC8.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSport RecifeVila Nova FCBaseline
Rest days7.29 days8.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsSport Recife 11 shots, Vila Nova FC 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsSport Recife 4 shots, Vila Nova FC 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG1.29 xGSport Recife 0.87 xG, Vila Nova FC 1.29 xG
  • Possession43%57%Sport Recife 43%, Vila Nova FC 57%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersSport Recife 3 corners, Vila Nova FC 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsSport Recife 15 fouls, Vila Nova FC 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife11 matchesVila Nova FC12 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/121.25 goals/match
0.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/12▲ 0.33 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals11/12▲ 1.66 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots11/12▲ 18.7 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target11/12▲ 5.42 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession11/1246.3%
6.36 corners/match ●Corners11/125.83 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1216.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Jun 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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