PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Atlético Goianiense 1–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense won 1–0.

Shots
296
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
1.690.24
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense beat Ponte Preta 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Ponte Preta): shots 29–6, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.69–0.24, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ponte Preta have a visible away split

moderate

Ponte Preta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots29 shots6 shotsAtlético Goianiense 29 shots, Ponte Preta 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsAtlético Goianiense 8 shots, Ponte Preta 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.69 xG0.24 xGAtlético Goianiense 1.69 xG, Ponte Preta 0.24 xG
  • Possession53%47%Atlético Goianiense 53%, Ponte Preta 47%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerAtlético Goianiense 10 corners, Ponte Preta 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls18 foulsAtlético Goianiense 11 fouls, Ponte Preta 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense13 matchesPonte Preta13 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.54 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1 goal/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.29 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1312.3 shots/match
4.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.69 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession13/1346.1%
6.69 corners/match ●Corners13/133.77 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1317.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jun 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianiensePonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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