PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Botafogo-SP 0–3 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 0–3.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
0.790.69
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Botafogo-SP 3–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Vila Nova FC): shots 17–10, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 0.79–0.69, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsBotafogo-SP · Vila Nova FC18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBotafogo-SPVila Nova FCBaseline
Shots13 shots/match18 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsBotafogo-SP 17 shots, Vila Nova FC 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsBotafogo-SP 6 shots, Vila Nova FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG0.69 xGBotafogo-SP 0.79 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.69 xG
  • Possession60%40%Botafogo-SP 60%, Vila Nova FC 40%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersBotafogo-SP 10 corners, Vila Nova FC 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsBotafogo-SP 13 fouls, Vila Nova FC 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP13 matchesVila Nova FC13 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.31 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.58 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 18 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 5.38 shots/match
46.2% ●Possession13/1345.8%
7 corners/match ●Corners13/135.54 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1315.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jun 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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