Serie B · 2023

Vila Nova FC 1–0 Tombense · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 1–0.

Shots
297
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.630.38
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Tombense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Tombense): shots 29–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.63–0.38, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vila Nova FC, Tombense.

3.44 days ▲Rest daysVila Nova FC · Tombense3.14 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVila Nova FCTombenseBaseline
Rest days3.44 days3.14 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vila Nova FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.36 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsVila Nova FC · Tombense15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVila Nova FCTombenseBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match15.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots29 shots7 shotsVila Nova FC 29 shots, Tombense 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsVila Nova FC 6 shots, Tombense 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG0.38 xGVila Nova FC 1.63 xG, Tombense 0.38 xG
  • Possession66%34%Vila Nova FC 66%, Tombense 34%
  • Corners13 corners4 cornersVila Nova FC 13 corners, Tombense 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsVila Nova FC 12 fouls, Tombense 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Tombense in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC14 matchesTombense14 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.79 goals/match
0.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.36 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.38 xG/match
18.8 shots/match ▲Shots14/1415.5 shots/match
5.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.43 shots/match
47.3%Possession14/14● 52.6%
6.07 corners/matchCorners14/14● 6.86 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Jun 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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