PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Tombense 4–2 Chapecoense · Serie B

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tombense won 4–2.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: tombense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tombense, Chapecoense. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Tombense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tombense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tombense, Chapecoense.

3 days ▲Rest daysTombense · Chapecoense3.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricTombenseChapecoenseBaseline
Rest days3 days3.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.86 corners/match ●CornersTombense · Chapecoense5.71 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricTombenseChapecoenseBaseline
Corners6.86 corners/match5.71 corners/match5.19 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tombense favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tombense15 matchesChapecoense15 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.47 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.28 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShots14/1415.1 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target14/144.5 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession14/1452%
6.86 corners/match ●Corners14/145.71 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1415.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Jul 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTombenseChapecoense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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