PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

CRB 2–2 Ituano · Serie B

CRB

LLWWW
2–2Historical match

Ituano

LWLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB and Ituano drew 2–2.

Shots
1714
Shots on target
87
Expected goals
2.172.32
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB and Ituano drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (CRB – Ituano): shots 17–14, shots on target 8–7, expected goals 2.17–2.32, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots14 shotsCRB 17 shots, Ituano 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots7 shotsCRB 8 shots, Ituano 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG2.32 xGCRB 2.17 xG, Ituano 2.32 xG
  • Possession57%43%CRB 57%, Ituano 43%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerCRB 3 corners, Ituano 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls22 foulsCRB 17 fouls, Ituano 22 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB12 matchesItuano13 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored12/13▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/131.31 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/130.97 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots12/1312.3 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target12/134 shots/match
47.8%Possession12/13● 48.9%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners12/134.31 corners/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1316.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 22 Jun 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBItuano
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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