PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Sport Recife 3–0 Juventude · Serie B

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 3–0.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.091.2
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat Juventude 3–0. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Juventude): shots 16–13, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.09–1.2, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsSport Recife 16 shots, Juventude 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsSport Recife 8 shots, Juventude 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.09 xG1.2 xGSport Recife 2.09 xG, Juventude 1.2 xG
  • Possession41%59%Sport Recife 41%, Juventude 59%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersSport Recife 3 corners, Juventude 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsSport Recife 12 fouls, Juventude 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife12 matchesJuventude13 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/131.15 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/131.15 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals12/131.4 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots12/1313.5 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on target12/134.38 shots/match
50.7%Possession12/13● 53.7%
6.08 corners/match ●Corners12/135.08 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1316.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Jun 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeJuventude
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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