PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Sampaio Correa 2–0 Chapecoense · Serie B

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sampaio Correa won 2–0.

Shots
104
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.710.14
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sampaio Corrêa beat Chapecoense 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sampaio Corrêa – Chapecoense): shots 10–4, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.71–0.14, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chapecoense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sampaio Corrêa have a visible home split

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots4 shotsSampaio Correa 10 shots, Chapecoense 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotSampaio Correa 3 shots, Chapecoense 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.71 xG0.14 xGSampaio Correa 1.71 xG, Chapecoense 0.14 xG
  • Possession41%59%Sampaio Correa 41%, Chapecoense 59%
  • Corners1 corner0 cornersSampaio Correa 1 corner, Chapecoense 0 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls18 foulsSampaio Correa 18 fouls, Chapecoense 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sampaio Correa
0Draws
0Chapecoense
Chapecoense — Sampaio Correa · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sampaio Correa favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sampaio Correa28 matchesChapecoense28 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 0.93 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.18 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals26/271.2 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots26/2713.4 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target26/27▲ 3.85 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession26/2749.7%
4.58 corners/matchCorners26/27● 5.41 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2716 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Sept 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSampaio CorreaChapecoense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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