Serie B · 2023

Botafogo-SP 1–0 Atlético Goianiense · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 1–0.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.360.23
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Atlético Goianiense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Atlético Goianiense): shots 13–11, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.36–0.23, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo-SP's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo-SP have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo-SP's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.89 corners/match ●CornersBotafogo-SP · Atlético Goianiense5.74 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBotafogo-SPAtlético GoianienseBaseline
Corners5.89 corners/match5.74 corners/match5.09 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsBotafogo-SP 13 shots, Atlético Goianiense 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsBotafogo-SP 3 shots, Atlético Goianiense 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG0.23 xGBotafogo-SP 1.36 xG, Atlético Goianiense 0.23 xG
  • Possession30%70%Botafogo-SP 30%, Atlético Goianiense 70%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersBotafogo-SP 7 corners, Atlético Goianiense 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsBotafogo-SP 13 fouls, Atlético Goianiense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Botafogo-SP
1Draws
0Atlético Goianiense
Atlético Goianiense — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Goianiense in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP28 matchesAtlético Goianiense28 matches
0.64 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.39 goals/match
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.25 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals28/27▲ 1.28 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots28/27▲ 13.9 shots/match
3.32 shots/matchShots on target28/27▲ 4.59 shots/match
44.4%Possession28/27● 54.1%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners28/275.74 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2714.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Sept 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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