PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Juventude 3–1 CRB · Serie B

3–1Historical match

CRB

WDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 3–1.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.250.65
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat CRB 3–1. Recorded in this match (Juventude – CRB): shots 14–12, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.25–0.65, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsJuventude 14 shots, CRB 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsJuventude 6 shots, CRB 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.25 xG0.65 xGJuventude 2.25 xG, CRB 0.65 xG
  • Possession50%50%Juventude 50%, CRB 50%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersJuventude 5 corners, CRB 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls16 foulsJuventude 17 fouls, CRB 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Juventude
0Draws
0CRB
CRB — Juventude · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude28 matchesCRB28 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.25 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.07 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals27/281.23 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots27/2812.6 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target27/283.86 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession27/2850%
5 corners/match ●Corners27/284.25 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2816 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Sept 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeCRB
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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