PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Chapecoense 1–1 Ceará · Serie B

1–1Historical match

Ceará

DDWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chapecoense and Ceará drew 1–1.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.640.95
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chapecoense and Ceará drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Chapecoense – Ceará): shots 11–17, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.64–0.95, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chapecoense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ceará have a visible away split

moderate

Ceará's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsChapecoense 11 shots, Ceará 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsChapecoense 3 shots, Ceará 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG0.95 xGChapecoense 0.64 xG, Ceará 0.95 xG
  • Possession37%63%Chapecoense 37%, Ceará 63%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersChapecoense 2 corners, Ceará 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsChapecoense 11 fouls, Ceará 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Chapecoense
0Draws
1Ceará
Ceará — Chapecoense · Serie B2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chapecoense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chapecoense29 matchesCeará29 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals28/29▲ 1.25 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots28/2913.6 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target28/29▲ 4.34 shots/match
49.2%Possession28/29● 53%
5.29 corners/matchCorners28/29● 5.41 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls28/2916.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChapecoenseCeará
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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