PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

CRB 1–0 Guarani · Serie B

CRB

DWWWL
1–0Historical match

Guarani

WDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 1–0.

Shots
156
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.850.38
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Guarani 1–0. Recorded in this match (CRB – Guarani): shots 15–6, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.85–0.38, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Guarani have a visible away split

moderate

Guarani's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.53 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.53 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsCRB 15 shots, Guarani 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotCRB 4 shots, Guarani 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.85 xG0.38 xGCRB 0.85 xG, Guarani 0.38 xG
  • Possession51%49%CRB 51%, Guarani 49%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersCRB 4 corners, Guarani 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls15 foulsCRB 17 fouls, Guarani 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CRB
0Draws
0Guarani
Guarani — CRB · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB29 matchesGuarani29 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored29/291.24 goals/match
1.03 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 0.72 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals29/281.17 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots29/2811.3 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target29/283.79 shots/match
50.1% ●Possession29/2849.6%
4.24 corners/matchCorners29/28● 4.71 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls29/2812.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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