PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Mirassol 1–0 CRB · Serie B

1–0Historical match

CRB

WWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 1–0.

Shots
187
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.250.35
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat CRB 1–0. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – CRB): shots 18–7, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.25–0.35, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsMirassol · CRB12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMirassolCRBBaseline
Shots14 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsMirassol 18 shots, CRB 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotMirassol 5 shots, CRB 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.25 xG0.35 xGMirassol 2.25 xG, CRB 0.35 xG
  • Possession40%60%Mirassol 40%, CRB 60%
  • Corners0 corners3 cornersMirassol 0 corners, CRB 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 foulsMirassol 16 fouls, CRB 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Mirassol
0Draws
1CRB
CRB — Mirassol · Serie B2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol30 matchesCRB30 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.2 goals/match
0.87 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.03 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/301.18 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots29/3012.5 shots/match
4.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/303.77 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession29/3050.4%
4.79 corners/match ●Corners29/304.2 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls29/3016 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Sept 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolCRB
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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