PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Londrina 1–0 Sampaio Correa · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Londrina won 1–0.

Shots
94
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.780.41
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Londrina beat Sampaio Corrêa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Sampaio Corrêa): shots 9–4, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.78–0.41, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sampaio Corrêa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sampaio Corrêa have a visible away split

strong

Sampaio Corrêa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots4 shotsLondrina 9 shots, Sampaio Correa 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotLondrina 3 shots, Sampaio Correa 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.78 xG0.41 xGLondrina 0.78 xG, Sampaio Correa 0.41 xG
  • Possession38%62%Londrina 38%, Sampaio Correa 62%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersLondrina 5 corners, Sampaio Correa 5 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls16 foulsLondrina 22 fouls, Sampaio Correa 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Londrina
0Draws
1Sampaio Correa
Sampaio Correa — Londrina · Serie B2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Sampaio Correa in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina30 matchesSampaio Correa30 matches
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.77 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1 goal/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals29/281.13 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots29/2813.4 shots/match
3.41 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/283.21 shots/match
46.8%Possession29/28● 50.5%
6.28 corners/match ●Corners29/284.64 corners/match
17.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2816 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Sept 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaSampaio Correa
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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