Serie B · 2023

Mirassol 2–0 Londrina · Serie B

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 2–0.

Shots
98
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
2.440.38
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Londrina 2–0. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Londrina): shots 9–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 2.44–0.38, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Londrina show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Londrina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsMirassol · Londrina12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMirassolLondrinaBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Mirassol have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.1% ●PossessionMirassol · Londrina47%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMirassolLondrinaBaseline
Possession57.1%47%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsMirassol 9 shots, Londrina 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsMirassol 4 shots, Londrina 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.44 xG0.38 xGMirassol 2.44 xG, Londrina 0.38 xG
  • Possession47%53%Mirassol 47%, Londrina 53%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersMirassol 2 corners, Londrina 8 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls14 foulsMirassol 18 fouls, Londrina 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Mirassol
0Draws
0Londrina
Londrina — Mirassol · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Londrina in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol31 matchesLondrina31 matches
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.81 goals/match
0.84 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.58 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.1 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots30/3012.9 shots/match
4.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.37 shots/match
57.1% ●Possession30/3047%
4.7 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6.33 corners/match
16.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3017.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 4 Oct 2023, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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