PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ceará 0–1 Atlético Goianiense · Serie B

Ceará

DWWLD
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense won 0–1.

Shots
1716
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.661.19
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense beat Ceará 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Atlético Goianiense): shots 17–16, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.66–1.19, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ceará have a visible home split

moderate

Ceará's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots16 shotsCeará 17 shots, Atlético Goianiense 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsCeará 1 shot, Atlético Goianiense 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG1.19 xGCeará 0.66 xG, Atlético Goianiense 1.19 xG
  • Possession51%49%Ceará 51%, Atlético Goianiense 49%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersCeará 5 corners, Atlético Goianiense 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsCeará 13 fouls, Atlético Goianiense 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ceará
1Draws
1Atlético Goianiense
Atlético Goianiense — Ceará · Serie B0–3
Atlético Goianiense — Ceará · Serie A1–0
Ceará — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Goianiense in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará30 matchesAtlético Goianiense30 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.2 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals30/291.26 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots30/2914 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target30/29▲ 4.59 shots/match
52.9%Possession30/29● 53.8%
5.4 corners/matchCorners30/29● 5.52 corners/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls30/2914.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Oct 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáAtlético Goianiense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
Head-to-headCeará — Atlético Goianiense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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