PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

ABC 2–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

ABC

DDLLL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

ABC won 2–0.

Shots
910
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.660.55
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

ABC beat Ponte Preta 2–0. Recorded in this match (ABC – Ponte Preta): shots 9–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.66–0.55, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

ABC have a visible home split

moderate

ABC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsABC 9 shots, Ponte Preta 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsABC 5 shots, Ponte Preta 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.66 xG0.55 xGABC 1.66 xG, Ponte Preta 0.55 xG
  • Possession40%60%ABC 40%, Ponte Preta 60%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersABC 4 corners, Ponte Preta 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsABC 11 fouls, Ponte Preta 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0ABC
1Draws
0Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — ABC · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ABC favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ABC30 matchesPonte Preta30 matches
0.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.57 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.9 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.04 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 11.3 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 3.48 shots/match
47.9% ●Possession29/2946%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners29/293.86 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2916 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsABCPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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