PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ituano 1–1 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

Ituano

WLLDL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano and Botafogo-SP drew 1–1.

Shots
118
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.741.04
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano and Botafogo-SP drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Ituano – Botafogo-SP): shots 11–8, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.74–1.04, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo-SP's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo-SP have a visible away split

moderate

Botafogo-SP's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsItuano 11 shots, Botafogo-SP 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotItuano 3 shots, Botafogo-SP 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.74 xG1.04 xGItuano 0.74 xG, Botafogo-SP 1.04 xG
  • Possession58%42%Ituano 58%, Botafogo-SP 42%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerItuano 7 corners, Botafogo-SP 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsItuano 18 fouls, Botafogo-SP 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ituano
0Draws
0Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Ituano · Serie B0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano30 matchesBotafogo-SP30 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored30/300.63 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1 goal/match
1 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/300.94 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots29/3012.3 shots/match
3.79 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/303.2 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession29/3044.2%
5.38 corners/matchCorners29/30● 5.67 corners/match
17.4 fouls/matchFouls29/3015.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsItuanoBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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