PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Atlético Goianiense 1–0 Ituano · Serie B

1–0Historical match

Ituano

LLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense won 1–0.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.192.3
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense beat Ituano 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Ituano): shots 13–10, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.19–2.3, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ituano's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsAtlético Goianiense 13 shots, Ituano 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsAtlético Goianiense 7 shots, Ituano 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG2.3 xGAtlético Goianiense 1.19 xG, Ituano 2.3 xG
  • Possession48%52%Atlético Goianiense 48%, Ituano 52%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersAtlético Goianiense 6 corners, Ituano 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsAtlético Goianiense 18 fouls, Ituano 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Goianiense
1Draws
0Ituano
Ituano — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense31 matchesItuano31 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.97 goals/match
1.16 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.13 goals/match
1.26 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.04 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots30/3012.9 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.87 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession30/3051.5%
5.53 corners/match ●Corners30/305.37 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls30/3017.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseItuano
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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