PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Tombense 1–1 Juventude · Serie B

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tombense and Juventude drew 1–1.

Shots
1315
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
1.320.76
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tombense and Juventude drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Tombense – Juventude): shots 13–15, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 1.32–0.76, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots15 shotsTombense 13 shots, Juventude 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsTombense 1 shot, Juventude 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG0.76 xGTombense 1.32 xG, Juventude 0.76 xG
  • Possession39%61%Tombense 39%, Juventude 61%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersTombense 1 corner, Juventude 4 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls9 foulsTombense 20 fouls, Juventude 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Tombense
0Draws
0Juventude
Juventude — Tombense · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tombense favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tombense31 matchesJuventude31 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.81 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.2 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots30/3012.8 shots/match
4.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.67 shots/match
50.8%Possession30/30● 52.5%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners30/304.77 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls30/3015.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTombenseJuventude
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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