PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Sampaio Correa 1–1 Novorizontino · Serie B

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sampaio Correa and Novorizontino drew 1–1.

Shots
1227
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.82.38
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sampaio Corrêa and Novorizontino drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sampaio Corrêa – Novorizontino): shots 12–27, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.8–2.38, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sampaio Corrêa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sampaio Corrêa have a visible home split

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots27 shotsSampaio Correa 12 shots, Novorizontino 27 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsSampaio Correa 3 shots, Novorizontino 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG2.38 xGSampaio Correa 0.8 xG, Novorizontino 2.38 xG
  • Possession51%49%Sampaio Correa 51%, Novorizontino 49%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersSampaio Correa 6 corners, Novorizontino 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsSampaio Correa 13 fouls, Novorizontino 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sampaio Correa
0Draws
1Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Sampaio Correa · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sampaio Correa favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sampaio Correa31 matchesNovorizontino31 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.29 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.77 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals29/31▲ 1.7 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots29/31▲ 17 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target29/31▲ 5 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession29/3148.2%
4.69 corners/matchCorners29/31● 6.29 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls29/3117.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSampaio CorreaNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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